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Author Topic: 2009 Awards That Are Not Filmspots.  (Read 50246 times)

Corndog

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Re: 2009 Awards That Are Not Filmspots.
« Reply #430 on: February 05, 2010, 02:08:53 PM »
I hope An Education wins. What fun that would be.
"Time is the speed at which the past decays."

Clovis8

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Re: 2009 Awards That Are Not Filmspots.
« Reply #431 on: February 05, 2010, 02:09:04 PM »
What I learned Today: There is no possible way of telling whether Avatar is the favorite to win best picture. That way leads to madness. And barfights.

Of course there's not, but that is precisely what makes the discussion interesting.  ;) (nobody is fighting)

'Noke

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Re: 2009 Awards That Are Not Filmspots.
« Reply #432 on: February 05, 2010, 02:11:00 PM »
(nobody is fighting)

Not yet anyways.
I actually consider a lot of movies to be life-changing! I take them to my heart and they melt into my personality.

FLYmeatwad

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Re: 2009 Awards That Are Not Filmspots.
« Reply #433 on: February 05, 2010, 02:11:15 PM »
I hope An Education wins. What fun that would be.

Replace that with The Blind Side and we'll talk.

After Crazy Heart today I was this close to talking myself into popping in to the theater right next to the one I exited for the showing of The Blind Side that started 10 minutes later, but I imagine Crazy Heart is exactly like The Blind Side, just a little better, so it seemed like a waste of time.

Clovis8

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Re: 2009 Awards That Are Not Filmspots.
« Reply #434 on: February 05, 2010, 02:12:15 PM »
Best Picture has gone to the favorite for the past three years

huh? favorite?

2006: The Departed was favored to win, and it won.
2007: No Country was favored to win, and it won.
2008: Slumdog was favored to win, and it won.
2009: Avatar is favored to win, and it will win.

Plus with the grasp at appeasing the common viewer rather than the 'film buff' Avatar's likelihood to win is even great. For what it's worth, David Henrie thinks IB should win with Avatar in second, I believe.

Favored to win by who? betting lines? Critics?

As for betting lines some have avatar ahead of THL others favor THL. I certainly dont think most critics favor Avatar over THL this year.

So I am not sure what you mean by favored?

Colleen

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Re: 2009 Awards That Are Not Filmspots.
« Reply #435 on: February 05, 2010, 02:17:35 PM »
Best Picture has gone to the favorite for the past three years

huh? favorite?

2006: The Departed was favored to win, and it won.
2007: No Country was favored to win, and it won.
2008: Slumdog was favored to win, and it won.
2009: Avatar is favored to win, and it will win.

Plus with the grasp at appeasing the common viewer rather than the 'film buff' Avatar's likelihood to win is even great. For what it's worth, David Henrie thinks IB should win with Avatar in second, I believe.


2006 was a year of weak Best Picture nominees, which combined with the common wisdom of Scorcese being previously "robbed" and overdue to be honored, did pretty much make that one predictable.

2007--everything I saw prediction Best Picture said that it was a toss up between No Country and There Will Be Blood--it was pretty much predicted it would be one of those two, but which one was not obvious.

2008--another weakish year.  The only other movie that had the sweep to be "Best Picture" type movie was Milk.  Benjamin Button was pretty backlashy by the time the Oscars came around and Slumdog had had a slower build of hype.  Frost/Nixon and The Reader were too unknown to be more than "honor to be nominated" picks.

FroHam X

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Re: 2009 Awards That Are Not Filmspots.
« Reply #436 on: February 05, 2010, 02:22:34 PM »
Colleen, 1997 was weakish, but Good Will Hunting is an amazing film, and is totally better than Titanic.
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ˇKeith!

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Re: 2009 Awards That Are Not Filmspots.
« Reply #437 on: February 05, 2010, 02:25:06 PM »
Blood was a close second but a second none-the-less.  Slumdog was definitely the front runner and had a huge head of steam heading into the ceremony - won the BAFTA, Globe, some Grammys, every guild award, and a bunch of critic's prizes.  I'm not sure The Departed was the front runner though - Babel, Sunshine & Iwo Jima were pretty strong contenders.

Clovis8

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Re: 2009 Awards That Are Not Filmspots.
« Reply #438 on: February 05, 2010, 02:29:14 PM »
[It] won the BAFTA, Globe, some Grammys, every guild award, and a bunch of critic's prizes.  

Exactly, Avatar has won none of these (except GG) so I dont see why its such a favourite. It's not. If it is a favourite (which I dont believe) it is a very small one at best.

ˇKeith!

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Re: 2009 Awards That Are Not Filmspots.
« Reply #439 on: February 05, 2010, 02:31:14 PM »
[It] won the BAFTA, Globe, some Grammys, every guild award, and a bunch of critic's prizes.  

Exactly, Avatar has won none of these (except GG) so I dont see why its such a favourite. It's not. If it is a favourite (which I dont believe) it is a very small one at best.

didn't say it was... though the oddsmakers seem to think so.

 

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