Author Topic: Box Office Prognostications: The Game  (Read 204611 times)

FLYmeatwad

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Re: Box Office Prognostications: The Game
« Reply #1560 on: August 07, 2011, 03:41:46 PM »
Golly!

¡Keith!

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Re: Box Office Prognostications: The Game
« Reply #1561 on: August 07, 2011, 05:54:59 PM »
FYI - Tim Burton's Apes had the highest opening day in history in 2001.

FLYmeatwad

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Re: Box Office Prognostications: The Game
« Reply #1562 on: August 07, 2011, 10:02:35 PM »
All hail Burton!

¡Keith!

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Re: Box Office Prognostications: The Game
« Reply #1563 on: August 10, 2011, 10:36:05 AM »
Summer Session 3 (2011) - Week 2

Rise of the Planet of the Apes - $54.8 Million

   Player      Guess      Dif      Accuracy   
   ¡Keith!      44.3      10.5      80.84%   
   FLYmeatwad      43      11.8      78.47%   
   smirnoff      39      15.8      71.17%   
   Dave the Necrobumper       37      17.8      67.52%   
   edgar00       32.5      22.3      59.31%   
   matt tmw      32      22.8      58.39%   
   1SO      31.5      23.3      57.48%   
   Bill Thompson      27      27.8      49.27%   

   Player      Total Accuracy      Change   
   ¡Keith!      86.71%      -   
   FLYmeatwad      83.05%      
   smirnoff      79.54%      -   
   matt tmw      74.25%      
   1SO      50.86%      -   
   Dave the Necrobumper       44.47%      -   
   edgar00      29.65% (59.31%)      -   
   Bill Thompson      22.99%      -   


Reagan knew it, Friends knew it and now we all know it. America. Loves. Monkeys. 

As I posted the other day - when Tim Burton first reignited/reimagined the Apes franchise a decade (+1 week) ago, it shocked everyone with the biggest Friday debut to that point and solidified the cultural cachet that the cult of Apes was always thought to have.  This new Apes flick was unexpectedly tracking quite high in the weeks leading up to the open – pegged at 58 three weeks before its bow, 55 two weeks out and 57 a week out according to Reel Source.  Even with these accounts most prognosticators didn’t think people would show in those numbers to see a bunch of poo-flingers take on a High Times centerfold. 

 - Side note.  Summer 2001 was the first time I played a box office game – the old Mr. Showbiz Summer Box Office Challenge – and I’ve totally been hooked since.

Other than brief snippets of Franco, the ads for Rise were all apes all the time… Tom Felton was in this?!?  It played more like the disaster porn of Roland Emmerich and people love porn (of all shapes and sizes!)

Meanwhile, Ryan Reynolds did a good deal to help prove Bill Simmon’s contention that he’s just not a movie star as The Change-Up became his second disappointment of the summer.  It also broke the hot streak that R-rated comedies had been on this summer… coming in well below Hangover 2, Bridesmaids, Bad Teacher, Horrible Bosses  and even Friends with Benefits.  Which could signal rough times ahead for this weekends 30 Minutes or Less  and Our Idiot Brother which opens at the end of the month.  Though as Captain America showed, if its sold well, people will show up – right FCM! ;)

After last weeks close call, Cowboys & Aliens crumbled 57% while The Smurfs smurfed down a mild 42% from last smurf.  C&A can claim its one week victory but the long term prospects are not at all good – it still has to make about $100m more to recoup the production cost.

And finally Potter 8 really found a second wind (thanks in no small part to lengthy IMAX run) and passed Transformers 3 on Monday to become the highest grossing film of 2011.  Looking ahead to the rest of the year, I’m not sure there’s a holiday release that can top it, though the 3D re-release of The Lion King may add enough to its $330m cume to surpass it on total gross terms.  I’m pulling for Hugo and The Muppets, but opening 3 family films (Arthur Christmas is there as well) on the same weekend… even if that is Thanksgiving Weekend, is not a smart idea.

This weekend, we go with the least for a change.

Aug 12 - 14
« Last Edit: August 10, 2011, 02:05:58 PM by ¡Keith! »

mañana

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Re: Box Office Prognostications: The Game
« Reply #1564 on: August 10, 2011, 12:13:34 PM »
Those scores confuse me.
There's no deceit in the cauliflower.

¡Keith!

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Re: Box Office Prognostications: The Game
« Reply #1565 on: August 10, 2011, 02:04:40 PM »

mañana

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Re: Box Office Prognostications: The Game
« Reply #1566 on: August 10, 2011, 03:31:48 PM »
Much.
There's no deceit in the cauliflower.

FLYmeatwad

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Re: Box Office Prognostications: The Game
« Reply #1567 on: August 12, 2011, 07:31:15 AM »
No post this week as I hammer out PC stuff.

$9.2M

smirnoff

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Re: Box Office Prognostications: The Game
« Reply #1568 on: August 12, 2011, 07:32:40 AM »
31M Glee

mañana

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Re: Box Office Prognostications: The Game
« Reply #1569 on: August 12, 2011, 08:10:42 AM »
Glee 3D: 13.5M
There's no deceit in the cauliflower.